CPI is trending lower, averaging approximately 2% annualized, on six months of MoM CPI data at 0.4% or less through December 2022.
What’s pulling CPI down? Data shows declines over 6 months in key components including Energy (-15%) and Used Cars and Trucks (-9%).
The Fed seems determined to crush CPI before easing up.
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Data as of 12/31/2022.